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Pro 2014 ETF CC Fund

Stocks, Options · Started Jan 2014

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
10.5%
Max Drawdown
66.8%
Trades
58
Win Trades
74.1%
Profit Factor
4.90
Win Months
19.9%

About this strategy

Watch and learn from our hedge fund manager how to successfully grow your accounts - POWERFULLY - using covered calls!

See our 15-year performance returns at KingdomCapital.com.

Follow: https://twitter.com/hedgefundsguru

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2014-3.0-2.2-14.05.1-7.8-10.02.00.14.415.3-42.424.8-37.1
2015111.4-9.5-24.412.72.8-8.5-3.3-0.2-0.27.1-0.90.00.0
20164.80.05.9-4.45.33.1-0.6-1.8-2.4-4.8-0.73.7
20172.41.4-2.10.50.2-0.10.00.2-0.3-0.00.00.02.2
20180.0-0.30.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.00.0-0.00.1-0.5
20190.2-0.10.1-0.2-0.10.00.4-0.2-0.1-0.10.30.6
2020-0.1-0.3-0.5245.70.00.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.0242.6
2021-0.0-0.00.00.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
2022-0.00.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.0-0.0
20230.0-0.00.00.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.0
2024-0.0-0.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.0-0.0-0.00.0
20250.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.1-0.00.00.10.2
20260.00.1-0.20.00.0-0.1-0.00.1-0.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/1/2014
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age155 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades58
# Profitable43
% Profitable74.1%
Avg trade duration142.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown66.8%
drawdown periodFeb 19, 2014 - Nov 19, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)10.5%
Avg win$1,523
Avg loss$896

Ratios

W:L ratio4.91
Sharpe Ratio0.29
Sortino Ratio0.77
Calmar Ratio0.68

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life320.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-59.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)10.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)10.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.6%
Percent Trades Stocks0.4%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)6.7%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$896
Avg Win$1,523
# Winners43
Sum Trade PL (losers)$13,447
Sum Trade PL (winners)$65,469
Num Months Winners76
# Losers15
% Winners74.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct552

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table153

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)204466.83
Avg Position Time (hrs)3407.78
Avg Trade Length142
Last Trade Ago3910

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.02
Treynor Index1.87

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.15
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.36
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.06
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.20
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.18
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats55.29
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.12
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.53
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.71
Hold-and-Hope Ratio1.06

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.89
SD1.55
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.56
df43
t1.10
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.59
Sortino ratio3.18
Upside Potential Ratio4.47
Upside part of mean1.25
Downside part of mean-0.36
Upside SD1.53
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms30
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion0.89
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion1.55
Covariance0.08
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.84
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.58
Mean Square Error2.40
DF error42
t(b)1.08
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.68
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.31
Treynor index (mean / b)1.05
Jensen alpha (a)0.58
Mean0.32
SD0.90
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.35
df43
t0.69
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio0.96
Upside Potential Ratio2.17
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.41
Upside SD0.83
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms30
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.90
Covariance0.04
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.81
DF error42
t(b)0.90
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.37
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.18
Treynor index (mean / b)0.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.33
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.40
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
Mean0.74
SD1.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.56
df973
t1.09
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.58
Sortino ratio2.57
Upside Potential Ratio7.14
Upside part of mean2.06
Downside part of mean-1.32
Upside SD1.28
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms371
N negative terms603
N of observations974
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.74
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion1.31
Covariance0.01
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.72
Mean Square Error1.72
DF error972
t(b)0.42
p(b)0.34
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.06
Treynor index (mean / b)13.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.72
Mean0.32
SD0.79
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df973
t0.78
p0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.42
Sortino ratio1.00
Upside Potential Ratio5.30
Upside part of mean1.69
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.72
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms371
N negative terms603
N of observations974
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.79
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.62
DF error972
t(b)0.29
p(b)0.38
t(a)0.76
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.12
Treynor index (mean / b)14.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-8.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-8.61
df130
t-6.13
p0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-11.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-11.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.65
Sortino ratio-8.60
Upside Potential Ratio2.41
Upside part of mean0.01
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.00
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms18
N negative terms113
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.16
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0.00
Covariance0.00
r0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)1.04
p(b)0.44
t(a)-6.22
p(a)0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-46.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-8.67
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-8.62
df130
t-6.13
p0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-11.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-11.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.65
Sortino ratio-8.60
Upside Potential Ratio2.41
Upside part of mean0.01
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.00
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms18
N negative terms113
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.04
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0.00
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)1.08
p(b)0.44
t(a)-6.22
p(a)0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-44.80
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations44
Minimum0.61
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum3.34
Mean of quarter 10.89
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.41
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.76
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high3.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.98
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)5.81
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations974
Minimum0.68
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum3.34
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low151
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high143
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.91
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.15
Median0.30
Quartile 30.40
Maximum0.49
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.30
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.49
Inter Quartile Range0.25
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.61
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.37
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high0.52
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.88
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (moments method)3.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.42
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-402020768
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)273
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.72
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.42
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.85
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.07
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.71
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.41
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.13
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.39
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.64

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
JNUG1615A2 short10Dec 16, 2014Jan 16, 2016$1,043
NUGT1615A10 short2Dec 16, 2014Jan 16, 2016$839
JNUG1519F4 short17Nov 3, 2014Jun 20, 2015$2,673
JNUG long255Jul 16, 2014Jun 20, 2015$2,717
NUGT1615A20 short1Oct 31, 2014Jan 27, 2015($752)
DUST long300May 27, 2014Jan 22, 2015($2,985)
DUST1517A19 short3Jun 19, 2014Jan 18, 2015$1,168
JDST1420L10 short2Jul 10, 2014Dec 21, 2014$499
JDST long50Jul 10, 2014Dec 21, 2014$249
JNUG1420L10 short1Oct 6, 2014Dec 21, 2014$184
JNUG1420L14 short1Sep 25, 2014Nov 3, 2014$168
JNUG1420L15 short1Sep 22, 2014Oct 31, 2014$258
JNUG1420L25 short1Jul 16, 2014Oct 31, 2014$843
NUGT1517A35 short1Jun 23, 2014Oct 31, 2014$1,343
VXX1419G32 short1Jun 9, 2014Jun 26, 2014$60
DUST1421F26 short1May 27, 2014Jun 22, 2014$204
NUGT1421F30 short1Jun 2, 2014Jun 22, 2014$125
NUGT long10May 20, 2014Jun 22, 2014($253)
DUST1517A29 short1Jun 19, 2014Jun 19, 2014($77)
VXX1421F35 short2May 27, 2014Jun 19, 2014$235
FAZ long25May 22, 2014Jun 9, 2014($239)
FAZ1413F20.5 short1May 22, 2014Jun 9, 2014$40
NUGT1430E33 short1May 20, 2014May 31, 2014$134
VXX1423E40 short1May 6, 2014May 24, 2014$117
VXX1423E42 short1Apr 28, 2014May 24, 2014$185
DUST1423E23 short1Apr 28, 2014May 24, 2014$209
TZA1409E17 short1Apr 22, 2014May 10, 2014$49
NUGT long10Apr 22, 2014May 3, 2014($5)
NUGT1402E34 short1Apr 22, 2014May 3, 2014$209
VXX1425D42.5 short1Apr 1, 2014Apr 26, 2014$167

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.